No. 117 – January 24, 2012

THE GOP’S ONLY HOPE – A BROKERED CONVENTION

The last “brokered convention” was in 1952 – when the Democrats picked Adlai Stevenson to run against the team of “Sure to Click, with Ike and Dick” – Eisenhower and Nixon.  Eisenhower won in a Landslide.

If the GOP is to even come close in 2012 – then a brokered convention is their only hope.  If no candidate comes to the convention with enough PLEDGED delegates, then it is possible that this whole mess would actually be cleared up on the convention floor.

I cannot see the GOP expecting anything but defeat if Gingrich is the GOP presidential candidate.  He has more baggage than Allied Vans could carry.  Nominating him would be political suicide.

As for Romney, he has just about COMMITTED political suicide with his “hemming and hawing” all through the debates. Apparently, he just does not have the “gravitas” it takes to, simply put, “kick ass and take names.”

A few POLL facts

Romney can get some of the Independent vote.

Gingrich will get virtually NONE.

Romney can muster some  votes on his abortion stand (as predicted, this “issue” will come to the fore again).

Gingrich will get NOTHING.

Romney is wishy-washy on homosexual unions. (Again, this “issue” was predicted to come up).

Gingrich will be portrayed as a “homophobe.”  This is already happening.

So, just considering these few points – Obama scores big on every count.

Another point to consider. The Log Cabin Republicans, a group of very conservative Republicans (but have a different sexual preference) is a very strong force for conservative issues (small government, personal privacy, small businesses, less taxes – and a strong National Security).

This group – along with ALL people who feel it is a “person’s right to choose” will gravitate toward Obama.

The notion that many Evangelicals voted against Romney (because he is Mormon) has now finally come to the surface in South Carolina.  Evangelicals are fanatical in their stance on not voting for ANYONE who is “pro-choice” on both sexual preference and abortion.  They simply would rather destroy America than vote for a person of this persuasion.

We are in deep, deep trouble – but there is still a way out.

YOU NEED 50% PLUS ONE, TO WIN

This assumption is patently wrong.

In any political campaign the breakdown of votes follows this classical format:

20% of the electorate will vote Democrat – no matter what.

20% of the electorate will vote Republican – no matter what.

These are the people that are referred to as “Die-hard” Republicans and Democrats.  They simply  vote Party – and NEVER change their affiliation, nor their loyalty.

So that leaves the 60% between the two extremes.

In simple math, the candidate only needs to get 31% of this “Center Vote” to be elected President.  (20 + 31).

This is not taking the Electoral College into consideration.  You can still have less popular votes and win with the right mix of Electoral votes.  This is a system that I think should be abolished – but we are stuck with it for this election cycle whether we like it or not.

The “Center Vote” is made up of MODERATE Democrats, Republicans, Independents and Libertarians.

Then there is the group who does not even vote – but I am leaving them out in the cold – where they belong.

You don’t need 51% of the vote.  You are only vying for 31% of the Center Vote.  You already have 20% guaranteed to you.  It is that simple.

But if you INTENTIONALLY piss off, disenfranchise, alienate or otherwise kick the Center Voters in the teeth, then you will AUTOMATICALLY LOSE.  And lose big-time.

It is therefore IMPERATIVE that the GOP keep fighting among themselves – and drag it all the way to the Republican National Convention.

The beauty about a brokered convention is that once the delegates vote for their committed candidate – and if no one wins – then the delegates are free to choose their own candidate from that time forward – and “broker” their delegate votes to the strongest – and BEST – candidate available.

Another good point is that, if the convention actually asks for someone who has already “passed” on running for President, that person would be extremely hard-pressed to deny the wishes of the Grand Old Party – and that of the United States of America.

In all honesty, they would be FORCED to run.

However, if any of the present candidates are chosen before the convention – then Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE.

It is THAT simple.  And that is my November Election Prediction.

SOMETHING TO CONSIDER

The information below is an astounding EYE-OPENER to say the least.

In all honesty – when it is presented in this manner – it should scare the living hell out of each and every one of you.

Bear in mind, these people are ALREADY in their positions of power.

NONE have been elected – nor APPROVED OR VETTED – by Congress.  Please remember, Obama was NOT vetted by Congress.  Yet Senator John McCain was vetted and was required to appear before Congressional Hearings to see if he was Constitutionally qualified to run for President.  Not so, Barack Obama.

The following information was sent to me by American Telegraph subscriber and Vietnam Veteran, Doc Dolan.

Thanks, Doc, for the heads-up presentation.

OBAMA’S CZARS With PICTURES and goals

Richard Holbrooke – Afghanistan Czar  (Deceased) Ultra liberal anti-gun former Governor Of New Mexico. Pro-Abortion and pro- drug legalization. Wants to dissolve the 2nd Amendment.

Ed Montgomery – Auto recovery Czar Radical anti-business black activist. Affirmative Action and Job Preference for blacks. University of Maryland Business School Dean; teaches that US business has caused world poverty. ACORN board member. Communist DuBois Club member.

Jeffrey Crowley – AIDS Czar Radical Homosexual. Gay Rights activist. Believes in Gay Marriage and a Special Status for homosexuals only, including complete free health care for gays.

Alan Bersin – Border Czar The former failed superintendent of San Diego. Ultra-Liberal friend of Hillary Clinton. Served as Border Czar under Janet Reno – to keep borders open to illegals without interference from the Federal government.

David J. Hayes – California Water Czar Senior Fellow of radical environmentalist group “Progress Policy”. No training or experience in water management whatsoever.

Ron Bloom – Car Czar Auto Union worker. Anti- business & anti- nuclear. Has worked hard to force US auto makers out of business. Sits on the Board of Chrysler which is now Union-owned. How did this happen?

Dennis Ross – Central Region Czar Believes US policy is the cause of war in the Middle East. Obama apologist to the world. Anti-gun and completely Pro-Abortion.

Lynn Rosenthal – Domestic Violence Czar Director of the National Network to End Domestic Violence. Vicious anti-male feminist. Supports male castration – imagine?

Gil Kerlikowske – Drug Czar Devoted lobbyist for every restrictive gun law proposal, former Chief of Police in liberal Seattle WA. Believes no American should own a firearm. Supports legalization of all drugs.

Paul Volcker – Economic Czar Former head of the Federal Reserve under Jimmy Carter when US economy nearly failed. Obama-appointed head of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board which engineered the Obama economic disaster to US economy. Member of anti-business “Progressive Policy” organization,

Carol Browner – Energy and Environment Czar Political Radical. Former head of the EPA – known for anti-business activism. Strong anti-gun ownership.

Joshua DuBois – Faith-Based Czar Political Black activist. Degree in Black Nationalism. Anti-gun ownership lobbyist. WHAT THE HELL DOES A FAITH BASED CZAR DO ???

Cameron Davis – Great Lakes Czar Chicago radical anti-business environmentalist. Blames George Bush for “Poisoning the water that minorities have to drink.” No experience or training in water management whatsoever. Former ACORN Board member (what does that tell us?)

Van Jones – Green Jobs Czar (since resigned). Black activist with strong anti-white views. Member of American Communist Party and San Francisco Communist Party. Said George Bush caused the 9-11 attacks and wanted Bush investigated by the World Court for war crimes.

Daniel Fried – Guantanamo Closure Czar Human Rights activist for Foreign Terrorists. Believes America has caused the Global War on Terrorism. Believes terrorists have rights above and beyond Americans.

Nancy-Ann DeParle – Health Czar Former head of Medicare / Medicaid. Strong proponent of Healthcare Rationing (i.e. “Death Panels”). She is married to a reporter for The New York Times.

Vivek Kundra – Information Czar Born in New Delhi, India. Controls all public information, including labels and news releases. Monitors all private Internet emails. (HELLO?)

Todd Stern – International Climate Czar Anti-business former White House Chief of Staff. Strong supporter of the Kyoto Accord; pushing hard for Cap and Trade. Blames US business for Global warming. Anti- US business prosperity.

Dennis Blair – Intelligence Czar Retired US Navy. Stopped US guided missile program he described as “provocative”. Chair of ultra-Liberal “Council on Foreign Relations” which blames American organizations for regional wars.

George Mitchell – Mideast Peace Czar Former Sen from Maine Left wing radical. Has said Israel should be split up into “2 or 3 ” smaller more manageable plots”. (God forbid) A true Anti-nuclear anti-gun & pro homosexual “special rights” advocate

Kenneth Feinberg – Pay Czar Chief of Staff to Ted Kennedy. Lawyer who got rich off the 9-11 victims payoffs (horribly true).

Cass Sunstein – Regulatory Czar Liberal activist judge who believes free speech needs to be limited for the “common good”; essentially against the 1st Amendment. Has ruled against personal freedoms many times on private gun ownership and right to free speech cases. This guy has to be run out of Washington !!!

John Holdren – Science Czar Fierce ideological environmentalist, Sierra Club anti-business activist. Claims US business has caused world poverty. No Science training.

Earl Devaney – Stimulus Accountability Czar Spent career trying to take guns away from American citizens. Believes in Open Borders to Mexico. Author of statement blaming US gun stores for drug war in Mexico .

J. Scott Gration – Sudan Czar Native of Democratic Republic of Congo . Believes US does little to help Third World countries. Council of foreign relations, asking for higher US taxes to support United Nations.

Herb Allison – TARP Czar Fannie Mae CEO responsible for the US recession by using real estate mortgages to back up the US stock market. Caused millions of people to lose their life savings.

John Brennan – Terrorism Czar Anti CIA activist. No training in diplomatic or gov. affairs. Believes Open Borders to Mexico and a dialog with terrorists and has suggested Obama disband US military.

Aneesh Chopra – Technology Czar No Technology training. Worked for the Advisory Board Company, a health care think tank for hospitals. Anti-doctor activist. Supports Obama Healthcare Rationing (i.e. Death Panels) and salaried doctors working exclusively for the Government Healthcare plan.

Adolfo Carrion Jr. – Urban Affairs Czar Puerto Rico-born Anti-American activist and leftist group member in Latin America. Millionaire “slum lord” of Bronx, NY. Owns many lavish homes and condos which he got from “sweetheart” deals with labor unions. Wants higher taxes on middle class to pay for minority housing and healthcare.

Ashton Carter – Weapons Czar Leftist. Wants all private weapons in US destroyed. Supports UN ban on firearms ownership in America. No Other “policy”.

Gary Samore – WMD Policy Czar Former US Communist. Wants US to destroy all WMD unilaterally as a show of good faith. Has no other “policy”

And to top all this off, it has been rumored – and NOT denied by the Press Secretary – that President Barack Obama has a portrait of Saul Alinsky hanging in the White House.  If this is really true, then we are on the verge of a second American Revolution.

Are you really going to allow Obama to have another FOUR YEARS?  Are your petty politics and “pet projects” going to allow you to send this Nation down a path – from which it might never recover?

I don’t know about you, but whomever the GOP puts up, I will vote for – even if I don’t agree with a lot of what the candidate has to say.

I love America much more than one or two “firmly held convictions” to allow this group of thugs to ransack my Country – and turn it into something WORSE than the so-called “European Union.”

Without America – there can no longer be an AMERICAN DREAM.

Please, don’t be the one who turns that Dream into an International Nightmare.

I will leave it at that for now.  Give this information SERIOUS thought.  The fate of America, once again rests with WE THE PEOPLE to get this mob of political miscreants out of Washington forever.  The sooner could not be soon enough.

Keep thinking positive, vote for AMERICA – to keep this Country Strong, Brave – and FREE!

Until next time,

Lawrence Klepinger
Editor/Publisher
THE AMERICAN TELEGRAPH

 

Add a Comment


 

 

Comments:

6 Responses to “No. 117 – January 24, 2012”

  • Dick Bachert Says:

    “The House of Representatives cannot only refuse, but they alone can propose, the supplies requisite for the support of government. They, in a word, hold the purse — that powerful instrument by which we behold, in the history of the British Constitution, an infant and humble representation of the people gradually enlarging the sphere of its activity and importance, and finally reducing, as far as it seems to have wished, all the overgrown prerogatives of the other branches of the government. This power over the purse may, in fact, be regarded as the most complete and effectual weapon with which any constitution can arm the immediate representatives of the people, for obtaining a redress of every grievance, and for carrying into effect every just and salutary measure.”
    Federalist Paper #58 Author: James Madison

    REREAD THAT LAST SENTENCE UNTIL IT SINKS IN!

    While it is obvious that the narcissistic cretin now infesting the White House MUST be kicked to the curb, WHERE THE HELL HAVE JOHN BOEHNER AND THE OTHERS BEEN WHILE OBOZO SPENDS US BEYOND BANKRUPTCY? OUR KIDS AND GRANDKIDS ARE DOOMED TO LIVE AS BOND SERVANTS TO PAY THOSE BILLS AND ONLY A HANDFUL OF THESE CLOWNS SEEM TO GIVE A DAMN! DO THEY SOMEHOW THINK THEIR PROGENY WILL BE SPARED?? (Given our stupid inclination to dynastic rule, some may while others are impoverished. On that score, watch for another Bush to pop up to “save us” from Obozo. Can you say “Jeb?”)

    I’m worried that we are again being lured into fixating on the quadrenniel “Beauty Contest” called the presidential race and will ignore the solution in our respective backyards: MEMBERS OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES!

    It is clear from their failure or refusal to stop this guy that we have a few more tons of garbage to haul down from that hill at the East end of the Mall.

    Just DAMN!!

  • Andrea Says:

    I agree. I too will vote for the nominee, whether I like him or agree with. This country can NOT withstand another 4 years of Obama. Personally, my guy is Santorum because he has the qualities I look for, walks his talk, sticks to his beliefs and stands for them, has integrity and an excellent understanding of the middle east. No way would the GOP ever give the nod to someone who is a real American. Even if a Republican wins, I don’t think that will be the “fix” for America. The corruption is too deep and has been allowed to fester for way too long.

  • Doc Dolan Says:

    That about sums it up Larry! Thanks for the “flowers”, but I just pass on information sent to me, and only occasionally, of late, get on my own ‘soapbox’.

    Let’s hope the people get the message! If they don’t I fear we are doomed to a nation in a revolution.

    Doc

  • Michael Kruse Says:

    Hi Larry

    What you say about the Brokered Convention is interesting; it does indeed sound like the Republicans’ only hope of coming up with a viable candidate.

    I don’t think much of your “Rogues’ Gallery” of Obama’s various current “Czars”. There’s no real information about them. We are told only either something implausible and unsubstantiated (such as of Daniel Fried’s believe that “terrorists have rights above and beyond Americans”) or something so banal as to be mind-numbing, such as people on the political left having left-leaning political opinions… Duh!

    And by the way, the only GOP hopeful with any demonstrable understanding of the ME is Ron Paul. Santorum is a breathtakingly ignorant bigot; Romney is a member of a religion that holds that the Garden of Eden was in Missouri, and Gingrich, whatever he really thinks, is a lying windbag who says about the ME whatever is flavour of the month with his current audience.

  • Gerrit Kuiken Says:

    While I agree with much of what Larry sez above – I differ with his conclusion that there will be a “brokered Repub Convention” and I also think the final Repub nominee will be Mitt and I think he can win!

    In various polls all along – have shown that against a Generic Republican – Obama loses and also specific Republicans like Romney – Obama also loses. Obama’s approval rating of 44% is comparable to Carter’s who lost in a landslide.

    And I’m thinking a lot of the voters who favored Obama in 2008 – have shown buyers remorse – now that Obama has a 3 year record – independents/young voters/single women voters/and even some of the minority groups – Hispanics/blacks have shown in polls that they no longer will support Obama.

    In recent survey’s, both the Evangelicals and the Tea Party folk – have shown that the most important factor in the upcoming general election is beating Obama, even over social issues, etc.

    In a recent editorial (link below) Dick Morris quickly discounts the notion of a “brokered convention.” He just flat sez – that’s not going to happen.

    I suppose that Larry is looking at the fact that until 1 Apr, the RNC has decided that Repub Convention delegate’s are going to be won proportionately and then (as a penalty for those states that have moved up their primary dates against the RNC’s wishes) only half the usual delegate quota is being allowed – so no one candidate breaks out of the pack as a clear front runner as in other earlier presidential primaries.

    Since there hasn’t been a “brokered convention” since (as Larry states – Eisenhower) or Reagan won the nomination in 1980 – the odds of that (brokered convention) happening are about as likely as a flipped coin landing on it’s edge rather then on either “heads or tails” – how likely is that event? Not very! Might add drama to the event – but not going to happen!

    Also, because several states have moved their primaries early from their previous dates, the RNC has “penalized” them and are allowing only half of their usual number of delegates to be seated. The upshot is that till now – none of the present candidates have won little more then two dozen delegates from the Iowa/N.H./S.C. primaries held so far. Much ado about nothing really!

    To make the primary results till now even more indecisive – three different candidates have won the early three primaries. Santorum won Iowa by literally a handful of votes, Romney won N.H. (as predicted – it being a neighbor state to Mass. where he was a governor, plus Mitt owes a summer home in N.H.) and Newt won big in S.C. with it’s more then 65% Evangelical vote.

    There are 2,286 total delegates. A candidate must accumulate 1,144 delegate votes (or one delegate over half) to win. So far – the count is Newt – 28, Mitt – 14, Ron – 10 and Rick – 8 !!!!! Considering the convention winner needs 1,144 delegates to win – this accumulated delegate count is nothing.

    However – after 1 Apr – whichever candidate wins a state’s primary – will be awarded all of that state’s delegates and then you will see one candidate pile up delegate numbers in bunches.

    But you can bet (and the flipped coin won’t end up on it’s edge (brokered convention) – it will be clearly heads or tails) that after Super Tuesday’s primaries on March 5th – there will be clear delegate leader and by the end of May’s primaries (if not before) – it will be all over but the shouting for sure. The only thing the convention does, is for the various factions/coalitions to coalesce behind the winner and the only surprise – if there is one – is who keynote speaker will be? and who the V.P. choice will be? You can take that prediction to the bank!

    My early written in pencil guess is Keynote Speaker: – either Ohio Governor John Kasich (wrote the Reagan Tax Cuts) , Fl Rep, Allen West (Black former military), or Fl Sen. Marco Rubio (Hispanic).

    These three are all very popular politicians (with the Tea Party especially) from the two key swing states, Ohio/Florida that anyone that wins the presidency, MUST win these two swing electoral states in order to win the presidency. Period!

    And if any of the present (Caucasian) candidates expect to win against a (black) incumbent president – IMHO – they are going to have to balance the Repub ticket with either an minority to win or a popular (Caucasian) politician from either swing state (John Kasich or Jeb Bush?).

    Another dark horse Republican V.P. choice might be South Carolina woman Gov. Nikki Haley (the daughter of Indian immigrants – husband Michael, a full time federal technician with the South Carolina National Guard and an officer in the Army National Guard – attends Mt. Horeb United Methodist Church in Lexington.) – especially if the presidential nominee is Mitt – who is a Mormon Caucasian from the N.E. state – Mass.

    So, that is my prediction(s) – that there will be a clear Repub candidate winner by the end of May – and who the convention keynote speaker and the eventual V.P. choice will be – especially the latter two (West/Rubio).

    If I had to pick an eventual Repub presidential candidate right now – I’d have to go with Mitt – cuz both the (liberal) mainstream media and the ” Repub Inside-the-beltway Crowd (those running for re-election to Congress) want Mitt. They do not want to run on Newt’s coat tails.

    Furthermore – (as Larry also stated) it is commonly believed that while Mitt could get some of the independent and Reagan Democrat votes needed to win against Obama, Newt would get hardly any or none.

    As Dick sez below – Newt is considered too much of a “loose cannon” and at any given time, is apt to engage his mouth before he engages his mind and angers a large segment of the Republican base – like when Newt attacked House Finance Budget committee Chair Paul Ryan’s proposed budget (which passed the house almost unanimously with only 4 dissenting Repub votes) and called it “Republican Social Engineering.”

    If you would like to read more about Ryan’s budget which — Compared to current law,– estimates that over the next ten years, the chairman’s proposed budget would:

    Cut spending by $5.8 trillion
    Cut taxes and other revenues by $4.2 trillion
    Reduce budget deficits by $1.6 trillion
    Reduce government workers (by attrition) by 20%
    See:

    http://www.pgpf.org/Issues/Fiscal-Outlook/2011/04/06/Analysis-of-Ryans-Budget-Proposal.aspx?p=1

    If you are interested in reading about the 2012 Republican Convention and the primaries to date – and what is coming up, see:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_States)_presidential_primaries,_2012

    ——————————————————————————–

    Editorial – By DICK MORRIS

    A seesaw campaign?

    Published on TheHill.com on January 24, 2012 –

    http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/dick-morris/206259-no-quick-ko-in-gop-fight

  • John Says:

    Yahoo!! Glad to see lots of post rather than the 1 or 2 that come along.

    what else can one say, VOTE!!